Tuesday, April 05, 2011

Updating Doc's Attendance Model

As of now [updated below to include the official stats from the ninth draw] the data are as follows:

Drw PdAtt 50-50 Cumul C 8am?
#01 05595 10935 05595 *
#02 05748 10515 11343 *
#03 03948 01818 15219 - *
#04 05633 10765 20924 *
#05 04497 05635 25421
#06 02513 02280 27934 * *
#07 02585 03318 30519
#08 04185 09470 34704 *
#09 02431 01638 37135 - *

The model would imply there were about 800 - 850 fans here this morning (not counting the students in the upper deck, who, presumably would not be allowed to purchase 50-50 tickets), no matter what the paid attendance figures are. As I looked around the arena, it looked as if more folks arrived as the draw proceded, and so that figure may not be far off. I expect many of them had day passes or week-long passes and didn't bother to show up until later in the draw. Too bad. They missed some pretty exciting curling.

Let's face it: morning draws are not big draws even if Canada is playing; but they're even worse when Canada is NOT playing. Time for the CCA to plan to sell or give more tickets to school classes for draws like these in the future.

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2 Comments:

At 4/05/2011 12:20 PM, Blogger Alan Adamson said...

My impression is that the CCA is somewhat immune to sesible economic considerations. Perhaps they need a consulatant economist to help them out.

 
At 4/05/2011 12:27 PM, Blogger EclectEcon said...

Most likely they'd want one on a volunteer basis...

 

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