Thursday, February 24, 2011

The Rankings, Going into the Playoffs

Looking at the rankings/ratings of the players as the 2011 Scott playoffs begin, I see that for every single position, Team Canada has the number one ranked player (see this for the full rankings).

Among the teams that qualified for the playoffs, the other striking feature of the player rankings is that for every position, Saskatchewan players are second, and Ontario players are third, with BC and Nova Scotia players ranked below the leaders. If player ratings have any predictive value, they indicate (albeit with considerable imprecision I expect) that Team Canada will win the gold, Saskatchewan will win the silver, and Ontario the bronze. But of course the predictive value has a substantial margin for error (confidence interval in stat-speak). As the saying goes for most sports, "Any given team on any given day...."



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